Year of the Nurse and the Midwife highlights ‘backbone’ of health systems
https://news.un.org/en/story/2020/01/1054531
The year of the Nurse and the Midwife has just kicked off.
“The world will need an additional nine million nurses and midwives to achieve the commitment of providing all people with access to health care by 2030, the World Health Organization (WHO) has warned. For this reason, the UN agency and its partners will use the coming year to advocate for greater investment in these crucial health workers. “Nurses and midwives are the backbone of every health system: in 2020 we’re calling on all countries to invest in nurses and midwives as part of their commitment to health for all,” said Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, the WHO Director-General. The Year of the Nurse and the Midwife marks the bicentenary of the birth of Florence Nightingale, the founder of modern nursing….”
“
Currently, there are 22 million nurses and two million midwives worldwide, accounting for half of the global health workforce, according to WHO. However, the world requires 18 million more health workers—approximately half of them nurses and midwives—to realize universal health coverage before the end of the decade, in line with a pledge that world leaders made at a UN meeting in September….”
See also
WHO. And
dr. Tedros in his New Year’s address (via
UN News) -
Investing in health workers yields ‘triple dividend’, WHO chief says in New Year’s message ““
Investing in health workers pays a triple dividend for health, economic growth and gender equality”, spelled out the WHO Director-General.”
PS:
The Lancet just launched a
call for papers coinciding with the Year of the Nurse and Midwife -
Nursing in 2020: a call for papers Check it out.
Economist ‘World in 2020’ – Florence Nightingale and the changing face of nursing
https://worldin.economist.com/edition/2020/article/17519/florence-nightingale-and-changing-face-nursing
Very neat ‘big picture’ analysis of how nursing has evolved and will change further in the years to come, as the ‘year of the nurse and the midwife’ kicks off.
Looking back to 2019 & reflecting on the past decade
A look back on global health (and development in general) in 2019
Devex -
Global health highs and lows in 2019 Jenny L Ravelo lists 11 global health highs & lows (and also adds a few ‘investigations’). Recommended read.
Guardian Global Development -
The success stories of 2019 from across the world “
From the first Ebola-free baby to advances in women’s rights, we take our pick of the breakthroughs.”
Devex -
How geopolitics shaped global development in 2019.
Devex -
Win, lose, or draw: How development issues, organizations, and priorities fared in 2019 Well worth a read. The Global Fund was among the ‘winners’.
Reflecting on the past decade
BMJ Feature - Wins, losses, and draws in global health in past 10 years
https://www.bmj.com/content/367/bmj.l7025
(gated) “Sophie Arie highlights five challenges and breakthroughs that defined the decade.” Ebola, climate change, health technology, antibiotic resistance and gene-editing.
NPR Goats & Soda -
The Decade In Global Health: New Drugs, Faster Trials, Social Media To The Rescue
Looking ahead towards 2020 & beyond
Stat – What will 2020 bring for medicine and science? We asked 16 leaders for predictions
Stat;
Among others, with the views of Trevor Mundel (Gates Foundation), Vanessa Kerry, and Henrietta Fore (UNICEF). Worth scanning.
Stat - 3 challenges to watch in global health in 2020
Focusing among others, on the polio battle & dengue (vaccines).
Reuters -
Breakingviews - A health craze for 2020: Chinese medicine
“
Move over, connected exercise bikes. There’s a new, more serious healthcare fad for investors: Chinese drugs. U.S. regulators in November approved the first-ever cancer therapy from the People’s Republic. For global pharmaceutical companies, a made-in-China blockbuster drug may be within reach. … … Leading the charge is BeiGene. The Beijing-based company, valued at $12 billion as of early December, focuses on oncology treatments….”
The
New Humanitarian (Feature)
- Ten humanitarian crises and trends to watch in 2020 Focus on 10 crises & trends.
And (also in the
new Humanitarian) -
Aid policy trends to watch in 2020. Greening relief, more nexus spending, digital threats loom, new threats to humanitarian space, and reforming reforms.
Devex – What to watch for in 2020
Raj Kumar;
https://www.devex.com/news/what-to-watch-for-in-2020-96289
“2020 may well be a pivotal year if the world is to have a chance at achieving the Sustainable Development Goals at the end of the decade. Devex President and Editor-in-chief Raj Kumar looks at some of the challenges in the year ahead.”
Another recommended read, with focus on the
global development & aid trends expected in 2020. Focus in this analysis on aid politics, aid funding, the humanitarian system, an increasing cold war (re development) with China, and billionaire philanthropy trends.
Lancet – Offline: Prospects for a New World Order
R Horton;
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(19)33180-0/fulltext
Horton rightly sees our time as a dark time. In this Offline, he gets some inspiration for hope from
Chantal Mouffe. “…
The political philosopher Chantal Mouffe has proposed “the radicalisation of democracy” through “a common will”. A common will between “the multiplicity of struggles against different forms of domination”—feminism, environmentalism, anti-racism, LGBTQI advocacy, to name but a few. What unites these resistances is opposition to the “philosophy of possessive individualism”. What these resistances have in common is a defence of equality and freedom together (and, I would add, solidarity). Medicine and global health can contribute substantively to this common will. We can help to construct a new people across nations, connecting groups with different demands through the radical idea of active citizenship. Health can be the field where this new frontier challenges the forces of regression in an Age of Entropy.”
Global Health Security
South China Morning Post - Hong Kong takes emergency measures as mystery ‘pneumonia’ infects dozens in China’s Wuhan city
https://www.scmp.com/news/china/politics/article/3044050/mystery-illness-hits-chinas-wuhan-city-nearly-30-hospitalised
“
Hong Kong health authorities are taking no chances with a mysterious outbreak of viral pneumonia in the central Chinese city of Wuhan, warning of symptoms similar to Sars and bird flu as they step up border screening and put hospitals on alert. “The situation in Wuhan is unusual, and we are not sure about the reasons behind the outbreak yet,” said Secretary for Food and Health Sophia Chan Siu-chee said after an urgent night-time meeting with officials and experts on New Year’s Eve. “Since we are now in the holiday season, and Hong Kong has close transport ties with Wuhan, we must stay alert.”…”
See also
AFP - China probes mystery pneumonia outbreak amid SARS fears
“Authorities are investigating an outbreak of viral pneumonia in central China amid online speculation that it might be linked to SARS, the flu-like virus that killed hundreds of people a decade ago. There were 27 cases of "viral pneumonia of unknown origin" reported in Wuhan, in central Hubei province, the city's health commission said in a statement….”
But other severe pneumonia is more likely. For the latest update, see
Cidrap News -
No answers yet in China's pneumonia outbreak (2 Jan)
“
As Chinese scientists continue their probe of an unusual viral pneumonia outbreak in Wuhan, local officials yesterday closed the seafood market that was linked to the cases, as governments in nearby Asian destinations stepped up their surveillance in travelers and at hospitals. The yet-unidentified source of the outbreak has led to rumors, mainly on social media, about a possible severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) outbreak and speculation about the possible emergence of a new zoonotic virus. Earlier this week, officials in Hubei province said 27 people were sick with pneumonia, 7 of them in serious condition, and that all were isolated….”
And see
Bloomberg - Pneumonia outbreak spurs fever checks from Singapore to Taiwan.
BMJ Global Health (Practice) - Validating Joint External Evaluation reports with the quality of outbreak response in Ethiopia, Nigeria and Madagascar
R Garfield et al ;
https://gh.bmj.com/content/4/6/e001655
“
To date more than 100 countries have carried out a Joint External Evaluation (JEE) as part of their Global Health Security programme. The JEE is a detailed effort to assess a country’s capacity to prevent, detect and respond to population health threats in 19 programmatic areas. To date no attempt has been made to determine the validity of these measures. We compare scores and commentary from the JEE in three countries to the strengths and weaknesses identified in the response to a subsequent large-scale outbreak in each of those countries. Relevant indicators were compared qualitatively, and scored as low, medium or in a high level of agreement between the JEE and the outbreak review in each of these three countries. Three reviewers independently reviewed each of the three countries. A high level of correspondence existed between score and text in the JEE and strengths and weaknesses identified in the review of an outbreak. In general, countries responded somewhat better than JEE scores indicated, but this appears to be due in part to JEE-related identification of weaknesses in that area. The improved response in large measure was due to more rapid requests for international assistance in these areas. It thus appears that even before systematic improvements are made in public health infrastructure that the JEE process may assist in improving outcomes in response to major outbreaks.”
Lancet Letter – The Sydney Statement 2019: normalising global health security online
C B Phillips et al ;
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(19)32606-6/fulltext
“
In June, 2019, delegates from more than 65 countries attended the first international Global Health Security conference in Sydney to debate how to strengthen global health security and contain epidemics at source. The Sydney Statement on global health security, announced as a “product of this conference”, was presented in its final form on the first day of the conference with seven guiding principles, including reference to the values of “integrity of international norms, respect for human rights, and social justice…[and] transparent decision making”. Global health security is an energising way of framing risk, of mobilising resources, increasing provision of development assistance for health, and clarifying the international obligations of nation states. But how had the countries of the Global South been consulted in formulating the Statement, and were their own priorities for health and their perceptions of risk considered?...”
Turns out there’s certainly
a lot of room for improvement… “
Any overarching statement on global health security requires structured, inclusive, and incisive debate from all stakeholders, particularly from the Global South, such as the deliberations proposed for identifying synergies across related initiatives by the Lancet Commission. The purpose and nature of global health security is too important to be established through asynchronous online contributions and normalised through social media.”
Ebola DRC
Cidrap News – Five more Ebola cases confirmed in past 2 days
http://www.cidrap.umn.edu/news-perspective/2020/01/five-more-ebola-cases-confirmed-past-2-days
(update as of 2 Jan) “
According to the World Health Organization's (WHO's) Ebola dashboard, the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) saw five more Ebola cases in the past 2 days. The outbreak total now stands at 3,382, including 2,232 deaths….”
Guardian - We were so close': how unrest in Congo thwarted the battle against Ebola
https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2019/dec/23/we-were-so-close-how-unrest-in-congo-thwarted-the-battle-against-ebola?CMP=twt_a-global-development_b-gdndevelopment
(as of 23 December) “
World Health Organization rues spike in violence that impeded efforts of health workers when outbreak was almost under control.”
“We were down to the last two transmission chains,” explained Mike Ryan, executive director of the World Health Organization’s (WHO) health emergencies programme. “We were so close to finishing,” he said, exasperated….”
Let’s hope the new year will bring the end of this Ebola outbreak in the DRC soon.
MSF Analysis – Ebola Healthcare at Gunpoint – the New Normal?
http://msf-analysis.org/ebola-healthcare-gunpoint-new-normal/#.Xg4fxSjbd9g.twitter
MSF staff
H Pagano & E Lampaert challenge how the Ebola outbreak response is being run.
“…
How did the Ebola response arrive at the point where WHO feels lifesaving treatment can only be delivered with the protection of armed forces?...”
“Hard lessons will need to be learnt, including by MSF, on this Ebola response. Never have we seen a response to an Ebola epidemic with an operational WHO, a government determined to assert its full control of an epidemic of this scale, and in an active conflict zone where trust and acceptance are easily undermined. We can’t accept that the current approach becomes the new normal. … … There are no simple answers here. We’ve seen from experience that militarised aid often backfires and escalates insecurity. The solution to any epidemic, Ebola or otherwise, cannot be to provide care at gunpoint.”
Lancet Letter – The responsibility and potential of public health
R Dhillon et al ;
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(19)31911-7/fulltext
“In 2019, the Editors proposed that the challenges to halting the Ebola outbreak in the DR Congo are “principally a political problem” and no longer within the scope of public health. This assertion problematically compartmentalises the social and political drivers of health outside the purview and responsibility of the medical community, and it implies that simply pursuing conventional public health approaches is a good enough response, even if such approaches are insufficiently effective because of social and political factors. We disagree and think that the obligation of public health must be to achieve healthful outcomes, even if that entails navigating messy politics and daunting social challenges or reformulating delivery strategies to overcome related barriers. …”
SRHR
WHO (report) - Funding for sexual and reproductive health and rights in low- and middle-income countries: threats, outlook and opportunities
https://www.who.int/pmnch/media/news/2019/funding-sexual-reproductive-health-and-rights/en/
“
This report, commissioned by PMNCH, takes stock of current and potential future investments in sexual and reproductive health and rights (SRHR), to inform discussions on how to ensure adequate support for SRHR. It provides analysis of SRHR funding by donors and low- and middle-income country governments, which is crucial as much of the needed growth in SRHR funding will have to come from domestic sources….”
“…While all countries should include SRHR in their path towards universal health coverage (UHC), and many countries are including common elements of SRHR (primarily family planning, maternal, and newborn health) in their UHC packages and plans, inclusion of a full package of SRHR interventions is rare, and by no means guaranteed. Moreover, despite official development assistance (ODA) for SRHR and funding provided by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation amounting to US$11.3 billion in 2017, an all-time high, donors invested a lower share of their overall health funding in SRHR compared to previous years. The evidence presented and recommendations made in this report support countries to prioritize health, including SRHR in their domestic budgets as well as encourage donors to include SRHR as an integral part of UHC efforts and to protect health investments from other emerging priorities. Nevertheless, a new global movement to mobilize political and financial support for SRHR is needed to sustain investments.”
Lancet Editorial – 2020: a critical year for women, gender equity, and health
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(19)33170-8/fulltext
“2020 is set to be a year of milestones for women, gender equity, and health. 5 years into the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), 10 years since the establishment of UN Women, 20 years since the landmark UN Security Council Resolution on Women, Peace and Security, and 25 years since the Beijing Declaration and Platform for Action, 2020 is an important year for reflection, commitment, and action….”
“Despite the pledges made in Beijing in 1995, the global community's commitments to SDG 3 and SDG 5, and the increasingly compelling body of evidence for how gender inequalities shape health, perhaps the most striking feature of the past 25 years has been the neglect of gender equality by mainstream public health and development programming…..”
The Editorial then lists
what the Lancet already does and has in store to mainstream gender equity and concludes
: “The Beijing+25 anniversary creates an important window of opportunity for the gender equity community to capture the attention of key national and global decision makers. A UN Commission on the Status of Women review will take place in March; July will see the Generation Equality Forum in Mexico City; and a UN high-level meeting is planned for September. Sustainable development cannot occur without gender equity. It is time for this principle to be applied with commitment to specific health challenges.
Guardian - Everybody is talking about it': women's rights to take centre stage in 2020
https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2019/dec/27/everybody-is-talking-about-it-womens-rights-to-take-centre-stage-in-2020
“
Campaigners hail year of key global gatherings and events as vital opportunity to secure ‘bold, accountable commitments and action’.”
“Over the course of the year, thousands of people are expected to attend high-level UN events and forums in Mexico City and Paris to mark the 25th anniversary of the Beijing platform for action, a landmark agreement to end gender inequality….”
Lancet Comment - Countering the pandemic of gender-based violence and maltreatment of young people: The Lancet Commission
F M Knaul et al ;
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(19)33136-8/fulltext
“…
Gender Based Violence is a public health priority, an equity imperative, a travesty of human rights, and an economic sinkhole. …”
“…The Lancet Commission on Gender-based Violence and Maltreatment of Young People seeks to create knowledge essential to counter the pandemic. Over the coming 2–3 years, the Commission will generate new tools and data to enable policy makers and advocates to catalyse and scale up effective policies, interventions, and programmes in health, education, income-generation, and gender equality. The work will apply the most recent analytic frameworks and methods to a subject that has been grossly under-researched. …”
Children’s health
UN News - Deadly decade: UNICEF reports three-fold rise in verified attacks on children since 2010
https://news.un.org/en/story/2019/12/1054231
“
Conflicts around the world are lasting longer and claiming more young lives, UNICEF Executive Director Henrietta Fore said, as the agency reported that over this ‘deadly decade’, there has been a three-fold rise in verified attacks on children since 2010 – an average of 45 violations a day….”
Access to Medicines
Lancet Editorial – Biosimilars: a new era in access to breast cancer treatment
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(19)33172-1/fulltext
“
For the first time, on Dec 18, 2019, WHO granted “prequalification” status to a biosimilar drug, for the treatment of breast cancer. Distinct from generics, biosimilars are interchangeable biological medicines of the same safety, quality, and efficacy in patients. Trastuzumab, the reference monoclonal antibody biologic, specifically targets cells expressing HER2, and has been the standard of care since 2005 for early and advanced forms of HER2-positive breast cancer—about 20% of the 2·1 million new diagnoses globally each year….”
Great news for LMICs, among others. “…
in low-income and middle-income countries where the breast cancer rates are increasing most and where WHO recommendations are relied on to guide procurement of medicines, the prequalification status of the biosimilar has the potential to provide a more direct pipeline to a treatment.”
“In an upcoming report, The Lancet Commission on diagnostics will consider how technology, innovation, and pragmatism must coalesce to improve accurate diagnoses and save lives. Breast cancer is one area in which that transformative work needs to occur and where diagnosis and treatment must be considered jointly….”
Global Health Governance
Global Fund (News) - Agence Française de Développement and the Global Fund Strengthen Partnership to Build Resilient Systems for Health
https://www.theglobalfund.org/en/news/2019-12-21-agence-francaise-de-developpement-and-the-global-fund-strengthen-partnership-to-build-resilient-systems-for-health/
(21 Dec) “
On the occasion of President Emmanuel Macron's visit to Côte d'Ivoire, Rémy Rioux, Chief Executive Officer of Agence Française de Développement, and Peter Sands, Executive Director of the Global Fund, signed a partnership agreement to end epidemics and build sustainable systems for health in West and Central Africa, two regions where these challenges are particularly acute. Through this agreement, AFD and the Global Fund will strengthen the impact of their investments in health through better coordinated and complementary interventions and the optimal use of resources. This approach will accelerate the establishment of strong and sustainable systems for health and support governments’ efforts in West and Central Africa. In the coming years, this partnership will help improve the training of health workers, increase their numbers, strengthen the diagnostic capacities of laboratories and supply chain systems and support national authorities’ health financing strategies. Côte d'Ivoire is leading the way in the partnership between AFD and the Global Fund…”
See also a
Project Syndicate Op-Ed by
Rioux & Sands -
A World Without AIDS, Tuberculosis, and Malaria
“…
Avoiding silo-based activity is the raison d’être of the recent partnership agreement between the Global Fund and the AFD. Under the leadership of national health authorities, we are pursuing greater convergence and synergy among programs to fight HIV/AIDS, tuberculosis, and malaria, such as those the Global Fund finances, and initiatives to strengthen health systems, such as those in which the AFD invests. Underscoring the extent to which these two areas are interconnected, the Global Fund is already the largest multilateral provider of grants for strengthening health systems, investing well over $1 billion per year in the cause….”
Lancet Letter – Careful governance of African biobanks
A Christoffels et al;
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(19)32624-8/fulltext
“
In a World Report, 54gene (a start-up genomics company) was featured as the first pan-African biobank that plans to collect 40 000 biospecimens from ten hospitals in Nigeria by the end of 2019. The World Report has subsequently been reproduced in the media. In a world where media reports are dominated by fake news, clarification of African biobank initiatives is imperative….”
Decolonizing global health
NPR Goats & Soda - Opinion: It's Time To End The Colonial Mindset In Global Health
Abraar Karan;
https://www.npr.org/sections/goatsandsoda/2019/12/30/784392315/opinion-its-time-to-end-the-colonial-mindset-in-global-health
Karan also explores what we can do about it.
He concludes: “
At its worst, global health today is a self-congratulatory neocolonial machine in which doctors, professors, researchers and others from wealthy places with abounding privilege are further exalted because they are doing work that their Global South counterparts do as part of their everyday lives with little to no recognition. At its best, it is a humble attempt to equal the playing field of life between North and South by trying to unravel the tightly bound chains of colonialism.”
NCDs
FT - Asian countries watch as Singapore expands ‘war on diabetes’
https://www.ft.com/content/8e7e2298-2130-11ea-b8a1-584213ee7b2b
“
Absolute advertising ban proposed on high-sugar drinks as part of fight against disease.”
…Most countries tend to impose time limits on television advertising to shield children from unhealthy food, whose “impact can be very small,” Mr Zee said. Singapore’s total ban, however, would have a “huge impact” on unhealthy products, hopefully pushing food manufacturers to reform these goods. Whereas “if you’re taxed, often they [manufacturers] pass the cost of the tax on to the consumer,” he added. …
… If Singapore can make headway, other Asian countries will be watching. According to a 2017 Asian Development Bank Institute report, at 1bn, the Asia-Pacific region hosts the largest absolute number of obese and overweight people in the world. …”
Guardian - Coke, crisps, convenience: how ads created a global junk food generation
https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2019/dec/26/coke-crisps-convenience-how-ads-created-a-global-junk-food-generation
“
From Bangladesh to Britain, blanket exposure to promotional material for unhealthy foods is encouraging children to eat badly, new research claims…”
“…
100 schoolchildren in seven countries were asked by researchers from University College London to film themselves and the food they eat for a study about the exposure of children to unhealthy diets….”
Planetary Health
Lancet Planetary Health (Editorial) - Looking backwards and forwards
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanplh/article/PIIS2542-5196(19)30249-9/fulltext
Great short editorial, looking back on 2019 using a planetary health lens, and then ahead. Some excerpts:
“Looking back over 2019 through a planetary health lens, the key themes of the year might be emerging public awareness and advocacy, and inadequate practical action. The rhetoric around climate change has notably changed with “climate emergency” and “climate breakdown” and “public health emergency” being increasingly used to describe the various climate challenges we are inflicting upon ourselves. … … The value and potential for youth leadership has also emerged as a key theme over the last year, while the IPBES global assessment report also brought home the true severity of the biodiversity crisis that we are facing. Meanwhile, many of the sustainable development goals are looking increasingly far from being achievable by 2030, with some even worsening. These are not disparate unconnected problems, but are all maladies of our current socioeconomic system; the net effect is far from what we could reasonably describe as a state of planetary health. … … The health implications of unchecked climate heating are also becoming increasingly clear … “
Conclusion: “ We have focused primarily on the climate emergency here given the ongoing COP25 conference and the importance of climate stability to all other endeavours, but issues of human development and protection of nature are no less important or crosscutting. As we move increasingly from only providing evidence of the nature of the problems we face to also prioritising and implementing solutions, we need to embrace the inherently political nature of those choices. As has been identified in climate change adaptation, these choices need to be understood as sociopolitical processes rather than politically neutral managerial decisions. If we cannot take that step, then the gap between talk and action is likely to continue to confound us.”
PS: You might also want to read, in the December issue of the Lancet Planetary Health,
Incorporating qualitative methodologies and fieldwork into large scale, quantitative analyses of climate health in low-income countries
NYT – In strongest climate ruling yet, Dutch court orders leaders to take action
https://www.nytimes.com/2019/12/20/climate/netherlands-climate-lawsuit.html
(20 Dec). See some tweets:
“
This is huge, huge news. Today, the Netherlands Supreme Court ruled that radical emissions reductions — 25% by the end of 2020 — are *mandatory*. This is the first time in the world that a citizens-led lawsuit has found a legal duty to prevent climate change. … … The Dutch Supreme Court ruling is big news. The govt has a legal duty to combat climate change, and must cut emissions by 25% in 12 months. The decision is based on the European Convention on Human Rights, thus enabling citizens in all 47 signatory states to take similar action.”
Intelligencer - We’re Getting a Clearer Picture of the Climate Future — and It’s Not as Bad as It Once Looked
David Wallace-Wells;
http://nymag.com/intelligencer/2019/12/climate-change-worst-case-scenario-now-looks-unrealistic.html
“
For once, the climate news might be better than you thought. It’s certainly better than I’ve thought. You may not have noticed it, amid the flood of bad news about the “Emissions Gap” and the collapse of the COP25 climate conference in Madrid, but over the last few weeks a new narrative about the climate future has emerged, on balance encouraging, at least to an alarmist like me. It is this: As best as we can understand and project the medium- and long-term trajectories of energy use and emissions, the window of possible climate futures is probably narrowing, with both the most optimistic scenarios and the most pessimistic ones seeming, now, less likely. That narrowing contains both good and bad news — what was recently the best to hope for now seems vanishingly unlikely, and what was the worst to fear much less likely, too….”
So not as bad as it once looked, but still really, really bad. Given also, what we’re already seeing in Australia, among others, at a relatively ‘small’ level of increase of temperature.
Recommended read.
Earth 'at a tipping point': Royal family launches climate crusade
https://www.smh.com.au/world/europe/earth-at-a-tipping-point-royal-family-launches-climate-crusade-20191231-p53nzh.html
“
Launching "the most prestigious environmental prize in history", Prince William on Tuesday said humans faced a "stark choice". … … While Prince William and his father, Prince Charles, have long campaigned on environmental awareness, the blunt language used to reveal the first details of the so-called Earthshot Prize is rare for such senior members of the royal family. The Earthshot Prize will aim to uncover solutions to climate change across all parts of industry and society. Drawing comparisons to the Nobel peace prize, multimillion-pound prizes will be awarded to five winners a year over 10 years. Recipients could include scientists, activists, economists, political leaders, governments, banks, businesses, cities and even countries….”
Guardian - We are seeing the very worst of our scientific predictions come to pass in these bushfires
J Gergis;
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/jan/03/we-are-seeing-the-very-worst-of-our-scientific-predictions-come-to-pass-in-these-bushfires
“As a climate scientist I am
wondering if the Earth system has now breached a tipping point.”
Excerpt: “…
It’s no exaggeration to say my work as scientist now keeps me up at night. As I’ve watched the events of this summer unfolding, I’ve found myself wondering whether the Earth system has now breached a tipping point, an irreversible shift in the stability of the planetary system. There may now be so much heat trapped in the system that we may have already triggered a domino effect that could unleash a cascade of abrupt changes that will continue to play out in the years and decades to come. Rapid climate change has the potential to reconfigure life on the planet as we know it. We know this because the geologic record contains evidence that these events have occurred in the past. The key difference is that we’ve never had 7.5 billion people on the planet, so the human species really is in uncharted territory. The scientific community is acknowledging this by including new sections on abrupt climate change throughout key areas of the upcoming IPCC report. We now consider these “low probability, high impact” scenarios an increasingly critical part of our work….”
SDGs
Nature – Editorial: Get the Sustainable Development Goals back on track
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-019-03907-4
“
At the current rate, most of the goals will not be met. Here’s how the 2030 agenda can be put back on the right path.”
“…
To be achieved, the SDGs need to become mandatory — not necessarily in the legal sense, but in the sense that nations have to know that there’s no alternative but to make them happen….”
And a quote on the
Global Sustainable Development Report (GSDR):
“
The first report’s authors are aware that the SDGs lack a mandatory reporting mechanism, and that in some cases the goals are competing with GDP goals. And they have come up with an innovative solution. They recommend that nations consider redistributing the 17 SDGs into 6 ‘entry points’. These are: human well-being (including eliminating poverty and improving health and education); sustainable economies (including reducing inequality); access to food and nutrition; access to — and decarbonizing — energy; urban development; and the global commons (combining biodiversity and climate change). This is a sensible recommendation. A focus on a smaller, more integrated set of goals could help to reduce instances in which implementing one of the SDGs has the potential to hinder another….”
Do check out also (
Nature Editorial ) -
A better way for countries to track their progress on sustainability
“
A US–Chinese team shows how sustainability metrics can be improved.”
“In Nature this week, a team led by researchers from Michigan State University in East Lansing and China Agricultural University in Beijing show how it’s possible to use the SDG reporting framework to construct an index that allows progress to be compared across regions and over periods of time…”
Polio
Science (news) - Polio eradication program faces hard choices as endgame strategy falters
L Roberts:
https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2019/12/polio-eradication-program-faces-hard-choices-endgame-strategy-fails
Great analysis of the current situation. “
The “endgame” in the decades long campaign to eradicate polio suffered major setbacks in 2019. While the effort lost ground in Afghanistan and Pakistan, which recorded 116 cases of wild polio—four times the number in 2018—an especially alarming situation developed in Africa. In 12 countries, 196 children were paralyzed not by the wild virus, but by a strain derived from a live vaccine that has regained its virulence and ability to spread. Fighting these flare-ups will mean difficult decisions in the coming year….”
“The culprit in Africa is vaccine-derived polio virus type 2, and the fear is that it will jump continents and reseed outbreaks across the globe. A brand new vaccine is now being rushed through development to quash type 2 outbreaks. Mass production has already begun, even though the vaccine is still in clinical trials; it could be rolled out for emergency use as early as mid-2020. At the same time, the Global Polio Eradication Initiative (GPEI) is debating whether to combat the resurgent virus by re-enlisting a triple-whammy vaccine pulled from global use in 2016. That would be a controversial move, setting back the initiative several years, as well as a potential public relations disaster—an admission that the carefully crafted endgame strategy has failed….”
In other polio news, see
HPW - Immunization And Surveillance Help Stop Polio Outbreaks In 3 African Countries, Says WHO
(23 Dec) “
Kenya, Mozambique and Niger curbed different outbreaks of vaccine-derived poliovirus over the past 24 months which affected 14 children, said a senior WHO official on Monday. Although wild poliovirus virus has not been detected in Africa since 2016, roughly 12 countries are currently facing outbreaks of vaccine-derived poliovirus….”
Some Papers of the week
WHO Bulletin – January issue
https://www.who.int/bulletin/volumes/98/1/en/
“
The World Health Organization (WHO) is currently working with partners to address quality of care in fragile, conflict-affected and vulnerable settings. … … These efforts build on WHO’s national quality policy and strategy initiative, on an emerging academic and experiential knowledge base, and on foundational efforts on quality health services from across the humanitarian and development sectors. This work supports WHO’s quality improvement task team that was recently created under the global health cluster, a network of partners that works in humanitarian emergencies. The following eight interdependent elements are proposed as key considerations in developing a strategic approach to quality action planning in such settings…”
(by
Chunling Lu et al)
HP&P - Measuring health system resilience in a highly fragile nation during protracted conflict: South Sudan 2011–15
J Odhiambo et al ;
https://academic.oup.com/heapol/advance-article/doi/10.1093/heapol/czz160/5687230
«
Health systems resilience (HSR) is defined as the ability of a health system to continue providing normal services in response to a crisis, making it a critical concept for analysis of health systems in fragile and conflict-affected settings (FCAS). However, no consensus for this definition exists and even less about how to measure HSR. We examine three current HSR definitions (maintaining function, improving function and achieving health system targets) using real-time data from South Sudan to develop a data-driven understanding of resilience….”
Journal of Equity in Health - Pooling arrangements in health financing systems: a proposed classification
Inke Mathauer, J Kutzin et al;
https://equityhealthj.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s12939-019-1088-x
“
The function of pooling and the ways that countries organize this is critical for countries’ progress towards universal health coverage, but its potential as a policy instrument has not received much attention. We provide a simple classification of country pooling arrangements and discuss the specific ways that fragmentation manifests in each and the typical challenges with respect to universal health coverage objectives associated. This can help countries assess their pooling setup and contribute to identifying policy options to address fragmentation or mitigate its consequences….”
Some blogs & mainstream articles of the past weeks
Lancet Letter – We need to talk about guilt in global health education
S H van Wees;
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(19)32965-4/fulltext
“
Global health is built on a history of unequal relationships, domination, wealth extraction, and hierarchies of what constitutes good knowledge. Richard Horton's Comment about transcending that global health guilt was a welcome and motivational text for my students of politics of global health. Many students of the history and politics of global health become disillusioned and are upset about that guilt, so I thank him for discussing it in a spirit of optimism. Although I welcome this optimism, I do not believe that we allocate sufficient space to engage with this guilt in global health education….”
Nature News - Low-carbon, virtual science conference tries to recreate social buzz
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-019-03899-1
“The organizers of an international biology meeting asked psychologists to assess their attempts at retaining the advantages of traditional conferences.” Was fairly successful, apparently.
Bretton Woods Project - IMF and World Bank complicit in ‘austerity as new normal’, despite availability of alternatives
https://www.brettonwoodsproject.org/2019/12/imf-and-world-bank-complicit-in-austerity-as-new-normal-despite-availability-of-alternatives/
“Austerity projected to affect 5.8 billion people by 2021; UN offers handbook on alternative financing options; IMF and World Bank continue to cling to unnecessary and harmful fiscal orthodoxy.”
Tweet of the week
Anthony Costello:
“
My New Year hope. That the UN and the health community stop flying round the world needlessly for conferences only rich in rhetoric and platitudes. #stopflying.”